2021-08-30
Surprise AMA August 30th, 2021
- A philosophical two-hour AMA just before the Alonzo smart-contract launch, framing IO as a systems company out to upgrade the world's systems.
- Long tangents on Hoskinson Biotechnologies and anti-aging, the mechanization of mathematics via Lean, and Ben Goertzel's Grace robot for dementia care.
- A rebuttal of the CoinDesk crypto-colonialism article and the Davos Great Reset, plus reflections on UBI, automation, and self-integrity.
- Closes on the microfinance mission, funding a Kiva loan in Kenya and previewing the Possession pilot from his 2014 TED Talk.
86 entries
Opens August 30th 2021 thanking Shane Patrick for a bison figurine gift, which may end up in the Crypto Bison game.
Cardano's first six years have been a long hard road of research, code, and community building, and it is now a nation of millions worldwide.
Goguen opens up the creativity of the ecosystem, and that a logo on an ecosystem map is a commitment to deliver.
Says like mathematics and agriculture crypto has a universal burden of proof harsher than any journal referee, and mentions the Hoskinson Center rewriting the foundations of mathematics over 25 years to prove things to the computer.
Uses agriculture as a metaphor that cows and plants rely completely on you to feed and water them regardless of circumstances, like the ecosystem-map projects needing tending or they die.
The community was given an imperfect foundation to realize dreams, with the IDO initial delegation offering as a novel funding distribution, and the HFC event in about 13 days.
Hard days come as enthusiasm wanes into real software lifecycles, and that integrity separates those who maintain version 2, 3, and 4.
Cardano uniquely leverages decades of formal methods via functional programming, with partners Quviq, Runtime Verification, and Tweag letting dapp developers prove code quality, so the community must demand certified dapps.
He cannot endorse applications or pick winners, since it is for builders to prove they are real to the community, having laid good soil and seeds for a great forest.
Answers whether crypto could enable a Ubuntu society expanding into deep space, saying societal evolution is central to what they do.
IO is a systems company not a crypto or blockchain company, upgrading the world's voting, property, governance, and payment systems that differ by where you are born.
In the US, 1 president plus 9 justices plus 535 lawmakers, under 10,000 people, control 300 million domestically and billions in the empire, which is easy to corrupt.
Answers whether they will integrate Solana, saying it is an open ecosystem and not his call, but he commissioned a business-intelligence report out of genuine curiosity after its adoption surge.
Any IO partnership would be economic, engineering, or scientific collaboration, but there is no relationship with Solana yet, just a desire to learn since nothing is accomplished by maximalism.
Says Ergo is not top 10 due to low circulation and few exchanges, but praises its technology and Alex Chepurnoy's smart-contract integration, and confirms September 12th is on track.
Rebuts the CoinDesk crypto-colonialism article as unfair, since crypto cannot build roads but gives a better system, and people with resources and expertise build roads from good systems.
Asks whether you would want free elections, sound money, easy capital movement, equal treatment, and secure property that cannot be stolen, all contingent on a country's operating system.
Gives the MIT versus Kigali graduate example where brand and institutional reputation unfairly determine hiring even if the Kigali graduate is superior, which crypto's self-serve systems can fix.
Calling open-source tools colonialism is absurd, since a Mongolian camel herder bought Bitcoin with no committee's permission, giving self-determination and globalization.
Economics is the study of human behavior under scarcity, and that corrupt governments keep the pie small while good systems grow it, since systems make good governments not the reverse.
African entrepreneurs will solve African connectivity better, faster, and cheaper with thousands of ISPs, building infrastructure for better systems that build wealth and eventually hyperloops and the Matternet.
Political corruption is stopped by systems that force transparency and punish corruption, citing Jack Ma as a warning that without rule of law you can be destroyed for angering one person.
Introduces Hoskinson Biotechnologies with his brother and dad, both doctors, focused on regenerative medicine and anti-aging, following the IO Global model of hiring top scientists and writing papers.
Medicine is at a renaissance studying biologically immortal jellyfish, newts, and salamanders with regenerative capacity, whose secrets slow-drip into a broken drug system that takes 10 to 20 years and a billion dollars for mostly evolutionary treatments.
Cites anti-aging books by Aubrey de Grey, David Sinclair, and Ben Bikman, plus exosome therapies, metformin, and NAD+ supplements researched by Elysium at MIT.
Genome sequencing dropped from billions to hundreds of dollars via Nebula, which works with the blockchain company Oasis Labs to let you own your data, in an AI-assisted golden age.
His biotech company will study everything from FDA-approved metformin to photobiomodulation, PEMF, and hyperbaric treatments researched by an Israeli group, before forming an opinion via meta-analysis.
The biotech will be in silent mode 24 to 36 months like Elon Musk's Neuralink, hiring in Wyoming for local jobs before slow-dripping products.
Addresses Andrew Yang's UBI question about the fourth industrial revolution's automation of jobs through AI and robotics.
Boston Dynamics and General Dynamics robots plus GPT-3 and GPT-4 brains will intersect into agents with human dexterity and a laborer's brain that can replace or augment fast-food workers, truckers, and construction crews.
Such robots work in hostile radioactive, oxygen-poor, or gas-filled environments, raising whether the billionaire class will get richer while the poor and middle class do not.
The Austrian and libertarian view that the wealth gap since leaving the 1971 gold standard comes from bad monetary policy eroding the poor's buying power while the wealthy hedge inflation.
The liberal-economist view favoring redistributionist tax policy, where UBI lives, taking automation's new wealth to support the displaced.
Questions whether workers will really be displaced, since the last three industrial revolutions created new jobs like professional gamers, VR, NFTs, and the gig economy.
UBI makes sense not as redistribution but as a sovereign wealth fund like Norway's 1.4 trillion dollars paying a freedom dividend, as Andrew Yang proposed.
Is cynical about redistribution given the US military spends 750 billion dollars and gave 85 billion in hardware to the Taliban, and that entitlement expectations always grow.
The only practical way to do UBI is with cryptocurrencies, digital wallets, and digital ID interconnected with CBDCs, given how hard COVID stimulus distribution was, and that Cardano's most unique technology is the hard fork combinator.
Answers a db-sync question, saying open infrastructure will diversify in 2022 to NoSQL like MongoDB and Redis and graph databases like Neo4j beyond PostgreSQL.
Shinichi Mochizuki's disputed ABC conjecture proof, whose verification is too hard, a reason for the Hoskinson Center at Carnegie Mellon.
Mathematicians are most productive in their 20s to 30s with a finite tenure clock, so young researchers will not tackle Fields-Medal problems like the ABC or Collatz conjectures without tenure.
Mochizuki invented new math and published a 250-page proof in his own Kyoto journal without lecturing or simplifying, unlike Fermat's Last Theorem where Silverman's group simplified it to 30 pages.
Constructive mathematics with Lean or dependently-typed languages lets a proof self-serve verification, like the four-color theorem, with tools far better than Automath and Mizar from the QED manifesto, which is why he endowed the CMU center with 20 million dollars.
Andrew Wiles's Fermat's Last Theorem proof was modular with connected blocks so its 1994 flaw was discoverable, unlike Mochizuki's incomprehensible paper, and that Lean forces you to construct proofs that way.
Proof assistants like Lean let you switch logics, dropping the axiom of choice or making the continuum hypothesis false, which set theorists do but algebraists and topologists do not.
Mochizuki is a top-ten living mathematician alongside Terence Tao, so confident he leaves verification to others.
Sophie Germain's failed 19th-century Fermat attempt inspired much mathematics, and that mathematicians remember their failures which unlock other conjectures like the Riemann hypothesis.
Extracting how mathematicians think into a computing system via AI and Lean leaves a simulacrum behind, so the world does not fully lose Gauss, Hilbert, or Emmy Noether when they die.
Unlike physical inventions like the cathode ray tube by Philo Farnsworth, math leaves only papers a generation from being a dead language, which mechanization preserves.
Praises the Lean community and director Jeremy Avigad's Creative Commons textbook Lean for Mathematicians, since math should be open with no IP or credentialing like Euclid or Archimedes.
Says he met Ben Goertzel through Dr M and commercial director Tom Flynn, spending six hours together in Wyoming, and describes a true academic as egoless, humble, and permanently curious.
He contributes systems via Cardano while Ben builds a real AGI you can throw any problem at, and that Grace and Sophia from Hanson Robotics are valuable cases carrying that journey.
Grace is near to his heart since three grandparents died of neurodegenerative disorders, Parkinson's, dementia, and Alzheimer's, whom he watched slowly decline.
Grace has unlimited patience and no ego to connect with dementia patients' last lucid moments, hearing subtle vocal and eyesight changes and the dementia stare that humans miss.
Giving families those last lucid moments would alone be worth the endeavor, something he would have given anything for since travel made him miss his grandparents' last years and most of their funerals.
He admires people who dream big even if they fail, and urges educators to turn off the cynicism and work with the people crazy enough to believe they can change something.
In 10 years robotics like Grace will help burnt-out nurses avoid mistakes, noting his brother was a nurse before becoming a doctor.
Rebuts a Twitter troll saying nothing matters more today than the people around you, and that money will not solve what you dislike.
Cardano fees will be the community's decision via Voltaire, since fees are not the best congestion control and Hydra offers alternatives, joking about hiring the rent-is-too-damn-high guy as fee spokesman.
Calls Klaus Schwab's Davos own-nothing-be-happy Great Reset a dystopian vision, since humanity has a systems problem not a resource problem given asteroids, geothermal energy, and seasteading.
The Davos elite think capitalism failed and want democratic socialism throwing away property rights, a neo-communism where a government powerful enough to control property inevitably becomes totalitarian.
Cardano updating itself without leadership shows governments and companies could too, encoding parameters that respect environmentalism and long-term thinking while preserving liberty.
Offers a thought experiment of two currencies, today-money and future-money earned only by doing good for people in 2200, making recycling and tree-planting as valuable as short-term work.
A geothermal plant costing 40 million for 3.5 megawatts becomes the most profitable if it also produces a carbon-credit currency, since capitalism is an optimization engine you parameterize via regulation.
Criticizes Davos hypocrisy with private jets and helicopters landing every 15 minutes while lecturing others, most born into Rockefeller or Rothschild wealth knowing only monarchy's secrets.
Americans' anti-king DNA, refusing even to wear a mask, uniquely positions them to implement new economic systems over Davos neo-communism.
He has never met mushroom hero Paul Stamets despite trying, though he has met Bill Yule and the Rockefeller mushroom guy, and owns Stamets's books.
He likes synth wave, psytrance, and space rock, and being homeschooled K-12 grew up on his mom's rock, Journey, Boston, Motley Crue, Steve Miller, and CCR.
Recalls meeting Steve Miller and CCR at a Miami conference, plays classical piano from Chopin to Ravel, and studies Ramin Djawadi and Max Richter for Crypto Bison's algorithmic game music.
America is not the best country but has the best people, composed of immigrants from every nation blending into a melting pot.
The US government was built for the 18th to 20th centuries, not instantaneous communication and a fourth-branch bureaucracy, with only two parties and candidates chosen for voters.
Predicts a constitutional convention will rewrite the government once people tire of nepotism and corruption like children taken over vaccine refusal and 20 years in Afghanistan for nothing.
The American story is a North Korean defector clawing to freedom, Satya Nadella, or a Namibian doctor, unified by the meritocratic idea it can be better, against the woke post-modern power-hierarchy cult.
Shares his grandfather's story of a Korean War Marine who retired an executive with 19 patents on a high-school education after his own drunk father abandoned the family, embodying the multi-generational American dream.
He loves Switzerland where the Cardano Foundation is based in Zug, comparing Colorado's Telluride to the Alps.
The greatest virtue is self-integrity, since society lets you accumulate self-fictions that hold you back from your greater self.
Per Michael Pollan's book, psychedelics help people in their 50s and 60s or with PTSD by removing the sense of self so you observe yourself as others do, an ego destruction.
As a public figure he gets that ego-check free from every comment, and that Jordan Peterson became a drug addict because he could not filter fame's toxicity.
Admits he used success to excuse neglecting his health but is now working out and has lost five pounds, since a leader should be better and inspire others.
Integrity melts away vices like hate, anger, and envy, so despite legitimate Ethereum grievances he chooses to see their good research and decentralization rather than live in hate.
People overestimate one year and underestimate 10 because humans are bad at exponential growth, so self-integrity and perceiving yourself objectively put you on a path of small simple things.
Social media makes people obsessed with the outcome, comparing your start to a seven-year-old concert pianist or Instagram models, when those are snapshots of a deeper path.
Tools like psychedelics for the old and flow research by Steven Kotler and Csikszentmihalyi help, all stemming from the integrity to see reality as it is and work a little harder daily.
Ends the AMA on Kiva, announcing a 150,000-dollar microfinance blockchain pilot with a partner in Kenya in 2022 during the Africa tour.
Funds a Kiva loan for Mercy, a 32-year-old smallholder dairy farmer in Kenya seeking 650 dollars for fertilizer and seeds through the field partner Colimo.
Shows his Kiva portfolio of nearly 6000 dollars across Palestine, El Salvador, Senegal, Togo, the Philippines, Haiti, Cambodia, and Kenya.
The microfinance from his 2014 Bermuda TEDx talk on 35 to 85 percent interest rates is finally close via a stablecoin, blockchain reputation, and peer-to-peer lending, meeting Possession in Kenya in October to design the pilot.