THE BREAK DOWN #467

Joins host David on THE BREAK DOWN from Vegas after speaking at AI4 and before RareEvo and a Robert Kennedy interview, mentioning an afterparty where Elijah Wood is DJing.

Recounts climbing a 13,000-foot volcano near Mount Pacaya in Guatemala through volcanic ash, hail, and torrential rain as the volcano erupted, plus helocasting out of helicopters.

It was a jungle-warfare course with Delta Fuego led by a former green beret named Pat, a dry run for an upcoming Amazon trip, where a falling tree crushed their hammocks and rained venomous scorpions.

Asked about the polls after the Trump assassination attempt, says he knows pollsters like Frank Luntz and the data shows Trump versus not-Trump, with Harris still a generic Democrat until she campaigns.

The polls oversample Democrats by about 10 percent and urban areas, and ignore the shy Trump voter first seen with Nixon in 1968, so they only show that people dislike Trump.

Says RFK was hurt most because disenfranchised voters who would back neither Trump nor Biden were voting for him at over 20 percent, and predicts an October surprise from a hacked Trump campaign.

The media gives Harris a halo effect while destroying anyone in the anointed candidate's way, and that RFK, an environmental hero of the 1980s, is smeared as a kooky conspiracy theorist because he threatens Harris.

The party of democracy sues RFK in every state to keep him off the ballot on technicalities they know they will lose on appeal after the election, calling it dirty two-party politics.

Democrats should be upset a candidate was forced on them with no votes, and mocks the media flipping Biden from Mount Rushmore-worthy to a Parkinson's patient in three weeks once he threatened their power.

Argues Harris, once the most unpopular VP since Dick Cheney, now has no policies and hides like Biden in 2020, because the race is only Trump versus not-Trump.

Predicts Trump will rattle Harris in debates as he did the 2016 Republicans and would beat her more easily than the witty Hillary Clinton, since Harris cannot defend her record on inflation or the border.

Democrats hate Trump enough to elect a ham sandwich, and that Zogby polls showed RFK beating Trump 58 to 42 because he is not Trump, refreshing, and carries the strong Kennedy brand.

Trump's devoted 35 to 40 percent plus reluctant conservatives cap him near 45 percent, so he benefits from third parties and flawed opponents like the charisma-absorbing Hillary, unlike the turbo-charismatic Bill Clinton.

US politics is now team blue versus team red as sport, citing Fetterman winning despite brain damage, and praises RFK for forcing issues most critics cannot even name.

Lists the real problems both parties created and ignore: a 35 trillion dollar debt, 60 percent of Americans chronically ill, endless proxy wars, and losing Afghanistan to the Taliban after 20 years.

The next president must handle quantum computing, AI, synthetic biology, nanomaterials, a possible World War III with China, nuclear risk with Russia, and AI-doctored media, while only RFK, Andrew Yang, and Vivek Ramaswamy discuss issues.

Trump has no crypto policy beyond firing Gary Gensler, whom he cannot fire, and that people paid 895,000 dollars at Bitcoin 2024 to hear Trump ramble for 30 minutes with five minutes of Gary-bad.

On Harris passing over Josh Shapiro for Tim Walz, says he doubts the Jewish-backlash story and thinks Shapiro declined a likely losing ticket to preserve a 2028 run, while Walz has nothing to lose.

Harris has a 94 percent staff turnover as an abusive boss, so no serious rising star would want the VP job under a new candidate with no policies.

Agrees Americans just want a leader who unites both sides and addresses inflation, homelessness, and people working three jobs, and shares his own immigrant grandparents' hard work from Norway and Sicily.

His Gillette clinic hits an absurd immigration system that trains foreign doctors through US residency then denies them a work visa, while 23 million illegal immigrants cost over 400 billion a year.

Calls immigration a multi-actor problem separable into dreamers, work visas, seasonal workers, high-skilled labor, gangs, and terrorists, which neither side solves because deporting 23 million is not realistic.

Real reform means revisiting birthright citizenship and Wong Kim Ark and a guest-worker program like Bush tried in 2005, a tough bipartisan negotiation Trump cannot broker because the left calls him orange Hitler.

Predicts four years of paralysis whoever wins, with Trump claiming a stolen election or the left refusing to normalize him, which is why he backs RFK as a full reset for policy-based decision-making.

The left never admits mistakes or validates the other side's feelings, like parents who felt their five-year-olds were force-vaccinated, and that throwing away half the country as enemies cannot run a nation.

He will not run for office because the media invents fake people, pointing to how Laura Shin's hack-job book portrayed him, so any campaign would see that dialed up to destroy him.

You cannot win a rigged game by playing it, so he focuses on decentralizing social media, reforming journalism and voting, and above all a state-by-state constitutional convention.

An island-hopping convention of states that rewrites the Articles while protecting the Bill of Rights is the only real fix, since fighting ideas of liberty, transparency, and accountability is impossible.

Recounts Geoffrey Hinton at AI4 arguing against open-sourcing AI, which he rejects as trusting five companies over the common man, contrary to America's founding belief that people can be trusted.