2024-07-27
Live Reaction Video: Trump's Bitcoin Speech
- His first ever reaction video streams live from a hotel room in Buenos Aires, watching Donald Trump's Bitcoin 2024 speech alongside thousands of viewers while everyone waits nearly an hour for Trump to appear.
- Predicts, then confirms, that the speech will be long on bravado and short on policy specifics: a pledge to keep the government's seized Bitcoin, fire Gary Gensler, end Operation Choke Point 2.0, form an advisory council, and commute Ross Ulbricht's sentence, none of which cost Trump anything politically.
- Grades the speech a C+, arguing Trump has every financial incentive to stay pro crypto after likely raising millions in donations from the event, while faulting him for taking credit for Bitcoin's rise despite calling it a scam in 2019.
- Reaffirms he is backing RFK Jr, not Trump or Harris, framing it as a chance to break the two party duopoly and pointing to RFK's focus on the national debt and chronic illness over crypto talking points alone.
- Cardano updates thread through the whole stream: node 9.1 adoption ahead of the Chang hard fork, progress on partner chains and the Midnight sidechain, and prep for the Cardano Constitutional Convention in Buenos Aires with Argentina's government.
- Off topic, comedy fills the long wait for Trump (mayonnaise, tofu, Blackhawk helicopters), alongside pushback on people using his old research comments to claim he endorses Kaspa.
10 chapters · 79 markers
First reaction video begins 7
His first ever reaction video streams live from a hotel room in Buenos Aires, watching Trump's Bitcoin 2024 speech.
David Bailey's Bitcoin conference has had his attendance for years, and Bailey is a genuinely nice guy known since the Satoshi Roundtable.
Credits Mike Caldwell's Casascius coins, created partly to draw Ron Paul into cryptocurrency around 2012, as part of Bitcoin's Ron Paul era roots.
Erik Voorhees and David Johnson make the list of the dozen or so Bitcoin OGs who came out of the Ron Paul Austrian economics movement.
Admits he only caught snippets of RFK Jr's speech but disliked RFK's suggestion that Michael Saylor could be Treasury Secretary, since that would effectively outlaw everything but Bitcoin.
Caitlin Long would make an exceptional Treasury Secretary, a role he'd consider appointing her to if he ran for office.
Reveals Bitcoin 2024 organizers offered him a paid meet and greet with Trump, 65,000 dollars for a handshake and photo or 892,000 dollars for a round table dinner, and he turned it down.
Node 9.1 progress and predicting Trump's reserve pledge 5
Cardano node 9.1 sits at 26 percent install base on PoolTool, just ahead of 9.4's 25 percent, with the Chang hard fork date set once installs cross 70 percent.
Admits he has never personally spoken with Trump about crypto policy but expects that will inevitably happen if Trump is elected.
Predicts Trump might copy RFK Jr's pitch to buy up to 19 percent of Bitcoin's supply at 550 BTC a day for a strategic reserve, while expecting the speech itself to lack real policy specifics as usual.
Trump's appearance forces a strategic choice on Democrats: brand crypto as a Republican issue, or try to run further right than Trump on it.
A former president publicly discussing Bitcoin policy ranks as one of the most significant events in cryptocurrency industry history.
Partner chains, Chang, and a Harris what if 8
Partner chains are moving quickly, tied to the Midnight sidechain framework, with more announcements coming at Rare Evo and the Cardano Foundation Summit.
Jokes he'd happily take an FDA or HHS post in an RFK Jr administration, since there's a lot of cleaning up to do.
Refuses to engage with Michael Saylor calling everyone outside Bitcoin criminals who should be jailed, saying he simply ignores people who want him banned.
Doubts there is any organized campaign against Cardano, arguing the ecosystem instead needs better marketing and branding and to finish Chang and the budget process.
Chang's purpose is to activate the Cardano Army, with the whole ecosystem, himself included, needing to grow and change a little.
Kamala Harris was invited to speak at Bitcoin 2024 too, and could have out technicaled Trump had she accepted, in his view.
Confirms a bridge between Midnight and Bitcoin is being built.
Down in Buenos Aires, he's working with Javier Milei's government to prepare the Cardano Constitutional Convention.
Comedy break while everyone waits 7
Improvises a crude comic riff about a dog, mayonnaise, and Bitcoin, mocking the muted panel's over the top Bitcoin maximalist praise.
Denies rumors that RFK Jr will drop out and back Trump, insisting RFK is in it to win it and will keep his support through November.
A fan recalls taking his old Bitcoin classes; a second edition is something he'd like to make time for someday.
Jokes in a mock impression of the muted panel that if Ergo was what Satoshi created, everyone would just be Ergo users, poking fun at exaggerated maximalist claims.
Lists the open questions about whether Kamala Harris will end Operation Choke Point 2.0, drop the exchange lawsuits, commute Ross Ulbricht's sentence, or buy Bitcoin for a reserve.
Cardano is already impossible to ignore, which is why it draws so much hate; he's been in crypto longer than the entire Bitcoin panel combined as a founding chair of the Bitcoin Foundation's education committee.
Flatly declares there will never be a coin burn on Cardano.
Rapid fire fan questions 8
Does a Trump impression, joking that nobody will deliver a bigger Bitcoin speech than him, riffing through a Forrest Gump style list of Bitcoin mining, transactions, and private key generation.
Quantum resistance work is underway, in answer to a fan's question.
Confirms IOG wrote an actual useful proof of work research paper, not just a brainstorm, based on Satoshi's original design.
Admits he hasn't read a fan named political manifesto when asked about it directly.
Used to play piano back in the day, he recalls.
A fan says they regularly revisit his whiteboard video on the five pillars of the 21st century; making videos like it is something he enjoys and hopes to find more time for.
Confirms strong confidence that partner chains will end up genuinely decentralized, calling it something the whole ecosystem is actively pushing for.
His first MMO was actually EverQuest rather than Ultima Online, played as a high elf.
Kaspa clapback and a RealFi update 4
Argues the Kaspa community mines his old comments about Yonatan Sompolinsky's GHOST, Phantom, and Spectre research as if they endorse Kaspa, which they don't.
Fans praise the reaction video as a second screen experience and ask about the Olympics opening ceremony; its Dionysus tribute gets a passing grade, though he questions whether it fit the Olympics theme.
Asked to guess Trump's possible surprise guest, he bets on Elon Musk, joking that Vitalik Buterin showing up at a Bitcoin conference would be as unlikely as Taylor Swift headlining a Metallica concert.
John O'Connor is killing it with RealFi in Cardano's Africa push, with a preview of O'Connor's upcoming conference speech.
Keiser, Metallica, and Blackhawk banter 8
Asked if Michael Saylor and Max Keiser have lost their marbles, he says Saylor has but Keiser hasn't, calling Keiser merely a carnival barking entertainer with no core integrity chasing relevance.
Metallica gets the nod as his favorite heavy metal band, a group that has chartered his jet and hung out with him backstage.
Jokes he owns four Blackhawk helicopters but is selling down to two, calling it really just one plus spare parts.
Jokes that if he were a genius he wouldn't have created Ethereum with Vitalik, calling it a bad decision, and names analytic number theory his favorite field of math.
Dual tokenomics explained: one token handles governance and pays deflationary staking rewards while a second, floating policy token prices the network's resource usage, part of roughly 210 IOG papers on such designs.
Riffs on the JD Vance couch meme, comparing the unverifiable rumor to the 2012 binders full of women gaffe.
Jokes Chris Pratt should play him in a biopic, guessing studios would actually cast Jack Black instead.
Buffering feeds and hotel WiFi force a scramble to get a working stream of Trump's speech, at one point telling viewers to watch Sky News instead.
Trump takes the stage 1
While Trump claims he was slandered just like the crypto industry over his own stolen election claims, a sarcastic aside suggests anyone making that claim should spend the rest of his life in jail.
Grading the speech point by point 14
About 200,000 Bitcoin seized through law enforcement will not be sold under the pledge, consistent with what RFK Jr already proposed.
Welcomes Trump's pledge to commute Ross Ulbricht's sentence as something the whole industry supports.
Firing SEC chair Gary Gensler and reversing Operation Choke Point 2.0 are easy, costless promises for any president to make.
Trump's claim that cheap energy stops Bitcoin mining from fleeing to China is only partly true, though cheap energy broadly benefits everyone.
Doubts the promised presidential Bitcoin advisory council will be genuinely open rather than stacked with campaign donors.
The speech had nothing on 1031 style tax deferred crypto transactions, unlike RFK Jr's more substantive pitch.
Estimates Trump probably raised five to ten million dollars in donations just from his thirty minutes on stage at Bitcoin 2024.
Pledging to keep already seized Bitcoin costs Trump nothing, unlike an actual commitment to buy new Bitcoin for a reserve.
The speech now pressures Kamala Harris to finally state a real crypto position instead of staying silent.
Backs RFK Jr because RFK thinks deeply and can grow, even though RFK's idea of Michael Saylor as Treasury Secretary was a misstep.
Calls Trump's performance 100 percent bravado, red meat for an industry traumatized by four years of hostility from the Biden administration.
Argues crypto has no natural political enemy since teachers unions and the UAW hold it too, and Elizabeth Warren is the industry's real self inflicted foe.
Admits he's touched Trump specifically said crypto and not just Bitcoin, though he'd get booed for saying that himself in a room full of maximalists.
Grades the speech a C plus: phoned in and not tailored to the crypto audience, despite hitting the right themes.
Choosing RFK Jr over the duopoly 17
Glad Trump specifically mentioned Operation Choke Point 2.0 and Wyoming's SPDI banks, giving Caitlin Long's home state some love.
Calls this his first, and probably only, reaction video, since a former president discussing Bitcoin at a conference is a genuinely big deal.
Working with Javier Milei's government to arrange visas from 50 countries for the Cardano Constitutional Convention by December.
Argues America can only kill the American cryptocurrency industry, not the global one, since most of his 32,000 viewers aren't even American.
His only political litmus test this cycle is whether a candidate supports crypto, and he urges Democrats who otherwise love their party to withhold their vote over it.
Argues Gary Gensler was never really targeting Bitcoin since BlackRock profits from its Bitcoin ETF, with the real war aimed at everything but Bitcoin.
Bitcoin alone won't deliver voting systems, social networks, decentralized AI, or medical record and supply chain systems; it's proto money, useful as digital gold but not yet full money.
Governments tolerate Bitcoin because most holders access it through BlackRock or custodial wallets the state can still tax and seize.
Fact checks Trump for taking credit for Bitcoin's price rise despite calling it a scam in 2019, when his own Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin opposed it.
SEC chair Jay Clayton sued Ripple under Trump's own first administration, not Biden's, so Trump has catching up to do with the XRP community.
Trump could have won more goodwill with humility, admitting he once dismissed Bitcoin, rather than claiming credit for gains he used to mock.
Backs RFK Jr over team orange because character and integrity matter more than simply winning, and breaking the two party duopoly is worth the risk.
Admits he personally stands to lose hundreds of millions or billions of dollars if the American crypto industry is destroyed, so he'd vote Trump over Harris on self interest alone, though neither party's voters actually chose their own nominee the way an RFK Jr vote lets people choose him.
Credits RFK Jr for focusing on the 35 trillion dollar national debt, where 50 cents of every tax dollar now services interest, and on the fact that over 60 percent of Americans have a chronic or mental illness costing 4 trillion dollars a year.
Congratulates his friend David Bailey for pulling off a conference on the level of Web Summit or South by Southwest by landing Trump as a speaker.
Glad to see Ron Paul fully embracing the cryptocurrency industry after speaking at the conference.
Closes calling Bitcoin maximalists the spiritual successors of sound money's Ron Paul roots, jokingly tolerating them as passengers who still get their mayonnaise.